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October 21, 2026
 
     
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Today was about as boring as it gets. In fact, the only blip of any action was a brief swing in prices late in the afternoon on the back of a headline about the State Department recalling some embassy employees and family members in the Gulf area that was briefly assumed to be an indication of hostilities renewing against Iran.

Predictably, the kneejerk was to pop crude, the dollar, and yields, which in turn weighed only slightly on the S&Ps but sent gold and silver tumbling to new lows for the day.

It turned out that this was for Saudi only, and on that clarification everything V'd out and reversed the entire move. That was about it.

The GDX closed below its 5 dma for a second day in a row, and gold ended below its 5 dma for a 3rd day in a row. Only silver managed to stay above it for a second session.

We still seem to be marking time in the metals complex waiting for the dollar and yields to continue to come in. If they don't come in, we're going lower.

My gold model remained at neutral.

I made no changes to my positions.

 
     
     
 
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